FiveThirtyEight Politics

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/

Eine durchschnittliche Folge dieses Podcasts dauert 44m. Bisher sind 1123 Folge(n) erschienen. Dieser Podcast erscheint alle 3 Tage.

Gesamtlänge aller Episoden: 33 days 14 hours 21 minutes

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Trump's Primary Challengers Are Running Out of Time


The U.S. House adjourned for the holidays last week after voting along party lines to authorize an impeachment inquiry into President Biden. The Senate is delaying its holiday recess as negotiators try to hash out a deal that would include aid to Ukraine and Israel as well as funding for border security and possible changes to asylum law...


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 December 19, 2023  1h7m
 
 

Have Progressives Won The Economic Debate?


In early 2020, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez told New York Magazine that, “In any other country [she and President Joe Biden] would not be in the same party.” Yet, by April of that year, after Bernie Sanders dropped out, she “absolutely” threw her support behind Biden, saying “the stakes are too high when it comes to another four years of [former President Donald] Trump...


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 December 14, 2023  36m
 
 

What To Make Of Trump's 'Dictator' Comment


Former President Donald Trump attracted attention for his answer in a town hall with Sean Hannity last week suggesting he would not abuse his power as president in a second term, “except for Day One.” His answer came after extensive reporting on how his second-term plans would challenge democratic norms and accepted limits on presidential power on issues ranging from Department of Justice investigations to domestic use of the military...


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 December 11, 2023  51m
 
 

Did The Fourth Republican Debate Matter?


Galen unpacks the fourth Republican primary debate from Tuscaloosa, Alabama with senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley and White House correspondent MaryAlice Parks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices


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 December 7, 2023  37m
 
 

Is Nikki Haley The New Ron DeSantis?


In the month since the last Republican debate, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley has been inching up in the national polls, while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has been slipping. Today, DeSantis leads Haley by just 3 points nationally, 13 percent to 10 percent. They are similarly close in Iowa, and Haley leads DeSantis by a sizable margin in New Hampshire and South Carolina. Former President Donald Trump is at 60 percent nationally and 40-some percent in the early states...


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 December 4, 2023  1h3m
 
 

2024 Is The First ‘AI Election.’ What Does That Mean?


Exactly one year ago today, OpenAI launched ChatGPT. And quickly, the program changed the conversation around what is possible for artificial intelligence. In the past 12 months, we've seen campaign videos featuring AI-generated images, legislative proposals and a congressional hearing on AI regulation. By all accounts, the 2024 presidential election is going to be our first "AI election." However, often the specifics around AI’s impact remain vague...


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 November 30, 2023  47m
 
 

Why The GOP May Be Ready To Say Goodbye To Santos


The U.S. House gets back to work on Tuesday and one of its first orders of business is expected to be a vote on whether to expel Rep. George Santos of New York. A House ethics report concluded earlier this month that he “sought to fraudulently exploit every aspect of his House candidacy for his own personal financial profit.” In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses how likely Santos is to be added to the only five House expulsions in U.S. history...


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 November 27, 2023  48m
 
 

What These Swing Voters Have To Say About The 2024 Election


What makes swing voters swing? In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast Galen heads to Simi Valley, California and speaks with voters whose preferences have crisscrossed parties in recent years. They explain how they’re thinking about politics today and why their views and identities may not fit neatly into one partisan bucket. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices


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 November 20, 2023  43m
 
 

The Fight For Working-Class Voters


In 2016, as has been widely reported, white working-class voters shifted decisively to the right. In 2020, working-class voters of color followed suit to varying degrees, though still giving President Joe Biden a clear majority of their support. This has left both parties with the understanding that going forward a multiracial, working-class majority will play a pivotal role in their electoral fortunes...


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 November 16, 2023  50m
 
 

If The 2024 Election Were Held Today, Would Trump Win?


To mark one year out from the 2024 election, Galen tries to make sense of the political environment based on all the data we have with a crew of election data nerds: G. Elliott Morris, ABC News editorial director of data analytics; Ruth Igielnik, editor for news surveys at The New York Times; and Lakshya Jain, partner at the election modeling website Split-Ticket.org...


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 November 14, 2023  1h3m