The Brian Lehrer Show

Newsmakers meet New Yorkers as host Brian Lehrer and his guests take on the issues dominating conversation in New York and around the world. This daily program from WNYC Studios cuts through the usual talk radio punditry and brings a smart, humane approach to the day's events and what matters most in local and national politics, our own communities and our lives. WNYC Studios is a listener-supported producer of other leading podcasts including Radiolab, On the Media, Death, Sex & Money, Nancy, and many others.

https://www.wnyc.org/shows/bl

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Nate Silver's 2016 Presidential Election Forecast


Nate Silver, a statistician and the founder and editor in chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight, discusses his first forecast for the 2016 presidential election.

Trump chances of Making America Great Again are currently 22%, up a tick from 20%. https://t.co/WLXtJovjYdpic.twitter.com/r9BmujztYs

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 1, 2016

Clinton's running a bit ahead of Obama '12 in swing states, although with some exceptions. Same in national polls. pic.twitter.com/i6Hk2yl9VE

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 5, 2016

This is interesting, though. Trump's only winning *red* states by 7 points, whereas Romney won them by 16. pic.twitter.com/rx41gnot8K

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 5, 2016


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 July 6, 2016  20m