DHUnplugged Podcast

This is the unscripted discussions of John C. Dvorak and Andrew Horowitz. Open mic style conversations about the economy, finance and the wacky world of business. Tips and rants are all part of each episode.

https://www.dhunplugged.com

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episode 644: DHUnplugged #644: Switcheroo


China making moves. Elon gets his crown back and reversal of fortunes. March is just ahead - rates could spoil the party. Baby Bonds are back on the menu... PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm Up - Lots of News - same old... - China making moves - Elon gets the crown back - Jamie Dimon Speaks Up - Cool Update From Apple - And Baby Bonds .... Market Update - A down month - short and out - Large Cap Growth - Beating Large Cap Value this year (small caps tied) - S&P 500 up ~ 4% for 2023 NASDAQ 100 up 10%! - Bonds - taking back some of the last month gains - Gold, Silver walking back on higher USD - Switcheroo ***NO SHOW NEXT WEEK**** Inflation - Not Giving Up - - The U.S. Federal Reserve may hike interest rates to nearly 6%, BofA Global Research said, as strong U.S. consumer demand and a tight labor market would force the central bank to battle inflation for longer. - PPI, CPI and PCE come in hot... - Don't think this is all over, but clearly not moving as fast - looks like we will settle in this area for a while Vape Wars - Altria Group Inc. is in discussions to acquire vaping startup Njoy Holdings Inc. for at least $2.75 billion in cash, according to people with knowledge of the situation. - A deal could be announced as soon as this week, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private. There is also $500 million in follow-up payments if Njoy hits certain regulatory milestones, the people said. - Altria recently wrote down the value of its investment in Juul to $450 million. The decision to end the noncompete “maximizes our flexibility to compete in the e-vapor space while maintaining our economic interest in Juul,” Altria said in a statement. - BUT - original investment was $13 billion - GENIUS PLAN - kill the vaping industry so cigarettes are back in vogue China Area - Great slow play for markets... - Turn from ZERO-Covid to 100% - then keep rolling out more and more - Hong Kong will drop its COVID-19 mask mandate, chief executive John Lee said on Tuesday, in a move to lure back visitors and business and restore normal life more than three years after stringent rules were first imposed in the financial hub. (945 days) - ---- Egg Freezing - A member of China's top political advisory body said she would propose allowing unmarried women to access egg freezing as a measure to preserve their fertility after the country's population fell last year for the first time in six decades. ----------- Lu's recommendations come as authorities try to bolster a faltering birth rate with incentives including expanding maternity leave, financial and tax benefits for having children as well as housing subsidies. More China - China Renaissance Holdings said in an exchange filing on Sunday that its missing chairman and star dealmaker Bao Fan was currently cooperating with relevant Chinese authorities conducting an investigation. - Reuters previously reported, citing sources, that authorities took Bao away earlier this month to assist in an investigation into a former colleague, Cong Lin, the company's former president. Even More China - Chinese authorities have urged state-owned firms to phase out using the four biggest international accounting firms, signaling continued concerns about data security even after Beijing reached a landmark deal to allow US audit inspections on hundreds of Chinese firms listed in New York. Target Earnings - Target (TGT) reported a quarter similar to Walmart's (WMT) last week with a solid Q4 beat on the top and bottom line offset by weak guidance for Q1 and FY23. Q4 adj. EPS fell 41% from an impossible comp while comp sales grew 0.


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 March 1, 2023  59m