DHUnplugged Podcast

This is the unscripted discussions of John C. Dvorak and Andrew Horowitz. Open mic style conversations about the economy, finance and the wacky world of business. Tips and rants are all part of each episode.

https://www.dhunplugged.com

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episode 645: DHUnplugged #645 – 2 Day Crisis?


Banks get smoked as depositors run scared. Fortunately we get a Sunday Night STICK SAVE! We have some bones to pick - bad math and even worse work ethics. Where are the bargains? We have some thoughts. PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm Up - Back from Central America! - Largest bank failure since 2008! - Fed will keep raising until something breaks - HELLO!!!!!!!!!!!!! - Worst Fed Ever! - General lack of any business sense - math clearly not a priority in last generations - - No attention to detail - oversight sucks- management is limp - Sunday Night STICK SAVE! (A joint statement from the various regulators involved said there would be no bailouts and no taxpayer costs associated with any of the new plans. ) Market Update - Capitalism is Dead - Moral Hazard Lives On! - 2-day panic attack with region banks - SVB Blowup - DJIA down for the year - California Banking system is imploding - RUN-ON-Bank - CPI - not slowing down too much - 6% YoY - Everyone now banking on less Fed hikes due to banking crisis - or none... Or cuts! (85% chance for 0.25% increase next week) Coming up this week on Andrew's TDI Podcast - Guest, Anthony Scarramucci BONE TO PICK - All these tik-tok nubes  - want to be a millionaire but have no idea what that means - LET me explain something from someone who works with lots of money all the time... It takes work and then more work - - You can't just make it, you need to keep it. That is just as hard. ---- Making it is not just seeing it on social media - it is a grind and something special - hard work - which it seems is not what people want. ----- Sit at home, no oversight, playing on phone, personal time and personal boundaries that are above work AND not watching the details. --- This is what creates the mess we see today - Then we want government to bail us out! Childish! Assuming everyone knows what happened. Right? - Banks started to get squeezed as assets/loan valuations got crushed under higher rates - Fed pushed hard and banks did not risk adjust - Bad oversight  - SVB - Moodys was going to downgrade, Theil makes some noise about problems, stock offering to raise capital, sold bonds at loss - run on bank - Started with other banks and the problems from overlevearaging with Crypto - all the dominoes falling had to impact firms (tech pulling cash to meet needs, other companies trimming up) - Realization hit that regional banks could have more problems The Fed is Actually Looking At Itself - EPIC lack of oversight, blinders on as usual - The Federal Reserve Board on Monday announced that Vice Chair for Supervision Michael S. Barr is leading a review of the supervision and regulation of Silicon Valley Bank, in light of its failure. The review will be publicly released by May 1. - "The events surrounding Silicon Valley Bank demand a thorough, transparent, and swift review by the Federal Reserve," said Chair Jerome H. Powell. - "We need to have humility, and conduct a careful and thorough review of how we supervised and regulated this firm, and what we should learn from this experience," said Vice Chair Barr. - There will be findings, many many months out as to how they could have done better, but nothing will come of it. ----- Fox guarding the hen house. Should be independent but Fed is above it all - right? Late Call - Or is it Early? - Moody's cuts outlook on U.S. banking system to negative, citing 'rapidly deteriorating operating environment' - The firm, part of the big three rating services, said it was making the move in light of three key failures that prompted regulators to step in Sunday with a dramatic rescue plan for depositors and other i...


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 March 15, 2023  1h3m